Well, well, well, what a set of tips they were last week! The title is something of a giveaway, but in case you're a little slow, I had 7 of my 9 tips come in, showing a very healthy profit. I'm going to keep a running score of where I would be if I had a level £10 stake on every tip I give. I think I am also going to go along the lines of looking at all the Premier League games and then picking a selection of a further 10 games that I have taken an interest in. There is the possibility of a midweek one as well for European games if my diary allows! Anyway...if you were to have had said £10 stake on all my bets last week this would be the result:
Tottenham v Man City - Backing City +0.5 at 1.83 = +£8.30
Aston Villa v West Ham - Backing Villa at 1.72 = +£7.20
Blackburn v Everton - Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 = +£11.50
Bolton v Fulham - Backing Bolton at 2.3 = -£10
Sunderland v Birmingham - D. Bent First Goal at 5's = +£50
Wigan v Blackpool - Over 2.5 goals at 2.1 = +£11
Wolves v Stoke - Under 1.5 goals at 3.0 = -£10
Chelsea v WBA - Chelsea clean sheet at 1.62 = +£6.20
Liverpool v Arsenal - Both to score at 2.0 = +£10
Overall profit = £84.20
This weeks Premier League fixtures:
Arsenal v Blackpool 1500 Saturday
As Ian Holloway acknowledged after the game last week, that is probably as good as it gets for Blackpool this year. I have tipped Wigan to go down due to their gung-ho approach to defending and Blackpool will not have that sort of game again this year. Whilst teams have shocked the Gunners in the last few years, they usually posed a physical problem to Arsene's group of tippy-tappers. Unfortunately for Blackpool they are not built like this. I would imagine Holloway will try to tighten up but I think it will be in vain. I see a big Arsenal win glossing over Wenger's failure to improve the defence or in goal again and a season of disappointment. I would take Arsenal -2 at 1.82 with bet365 for this.
Birmingham v Blackburn 1500 Saturday
Both teams had good results on the openeing weekend with Blackburn defeating Everton at home and Birmingham coming back from 2-0 down away at Sunderland to draw 2-2. Big fat Sam's team will take lots of points at home I think, but will struggle to impose their bullying style away. Under Big Eck Birmingham are anything but fairies and I would expect them to see Blackburn off in this one. I would take the 2.3 on offer at 365 and Chandler's for this one.
Everton v Wolves 1500 Saturday
I have a good feeling for Wolves this year and think Mick McCarthy has made some canny investments in Steven Fletcher, Stephen Hunt and the lad Mouyokolo from Hull. These boys wont set the world alight, but they'll do a more than adequate job for Wolves. Everton are another team I think will do well this year, and I'm not alone in that from looking at other sites. They were the form team after Xmas last season and Moyes has almost a full squad to pick from at the start of this. Whilst the 1.57 at Ladbrokes isn't going to let you move to Barbados and sip Malibu's for the rest of your years, it looks far too big to me. Steam in now and count your winnings at 1700 Saturday.
Stoke v Tottenham 1500 Saturday
Stoke are now almost a fixture in the Premier League and they look set to stay as they have a good mix of hard-working, athletic players and an astute manager in Tony Pulis. He does look a twat in that cap though. The assumption that they are brilliant at home was turned on it's head last year and their away form was better. This worries me as Tottenham have got the attacking talent to turn most teams in this league over if the opposition aren't at the races. I reckon I'll hunt for some longer odds than 2.1 on an away win though, the Draw/Tottenham in HT/FT at 5's widely available is the bet for me.
WBA v Sunderland 1500 Saturday
I thought it would be a long hard slog for West Brom this term, but even I didn't see a 6-0 tonking at the hands of Chelsea last week! Di Matteo seems to be from the school of thought, like Roberto Martinez, that if they score 2 we'll score 3. This is admirable, and will work most weeks in the Championship with their players, but is fooking mental in the Premier League. All these people discussing whether Blackpool will have the lowest points total ever would do well to cast a glance towards the Hawthorns to see they might not even have the lowest points this year! You can get 2.88 on the away win here with a number of firms and I think that's the price of the weekend. If you don't want to get on a HT/FT in the Spurs game then double your stake and get it on the Mackems here!
West Ham v Bolton 1500 Saturday
With Aston Villa running rings around the East End Boys last week it looks like it could be a long season again for the Hammers. This is by far the easiest game of the first 6 for West Ham and if they don't win this they could be bottom at the end of October, and it'll be a long way back. I've been talking Bolton up for this season as a suprise and they were all over Fulham last week with Stockdale performing great on his debut in goal for the Cottagers to steal a draw. Rob Green's World Cup hangover looks like continuing, as does Matt Upson's, and sadly I think West Ham might get beat here. I'll take the 3.6 at Ladbroke's for a Bolton win in this one.
Wigan v Chelsea 1715 Saturday
The opening days most impressive team meets the least impressive in this match. Wigan have been known to spring a suprise against the big boys, but I just can't see it this time. Because of that first weekend prices have been stretched massively here with 1.25 the best available on an away win and 1.2 in some places. I can't back that so I'll take Florent Malouda to score again at 2.88 with Boylesports.
Newcastle v Aston Villa 1330 Sunday
Newcastle weren't that bad for the first 30 minutes last night away at Man Utd and on that basis alone I think they will survive this season. In saying that they look like goals might be a problem with Andy Carroll a willing runner and aerial menace, but not a natural goalscorer. Villa on the other hand threw in Marc Albrighton and were rewarded with 3 goals for the team and 3 assists for Albrighton. I fancy Kevin MacDonald's boys to score, but I also think Newcastle will get off the mark with the backing of St James Park behind them. I'll take both teams to score at 1.91 at William Hill.
Fulham v Manchester United 1600 Sunday
I'm going way out on a limb here and expect to be mocked for my ridiculous assertion that Fulham could win this! They've done it before and I think they can repeat the trick as I wasn't that impressed with United's opening performance. Wayne Rooney looks miles away from being ready and I can't see Scholes performing like that every week. Fulham might not have been very good away at Bolton, but with something like 3 away wins in the last 2 season's you can see where there form lies. I wouldn't recommend following this with any great amount of money, but I think they're worth a dabble. You can get 13/2 with a number of bookies or for those who don't want to steam in you could get Fulham and the draw in the double chance market at 2.4 with Bwin.
Manchester City v Liverpool 2000 Monday
A tough one to call this. City might have got a good away point at White Hart Lane last week, but they were far from impressive. They needed a presence up front to hold the ball up a bit and they looked much better when Adebayor came on to fulfil that role. Expect Mancini to correct his error for this match. Liverpool did much better when they had 10 men and I can only see them coming for a draw in this match. I think City's attacking talent might tell in this, particularly if Adebayor starts instead of the quite frankly awful Wright-Philips. I'll be backing them to take all the points at the fortress that is the City of Manchester at 2.38 with a number of firms.
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