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We have now settled on a format to include a selection of Premier League games, some European matches and some musical recommendations. The musical recommendations are probably not the blogs best feature! If you would like me to include anything else or suggest changes then please get in touch via the Comments section.
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Wednesday, 29 September 2010

The Champions da daaa da...

As I have been given a kick up the jacksie to get some bleeding midweek tips up I thought I'd rush a quick one out for tonight's matches. Quick in the sense that I'll only do 4 or 5 tips, I'll obviously have a think about what they are. I think there is some value around tonight so here we go:

Hapoel Tel Aviv v Lyon, Tonight 1945
Anyone who followed my tip of opposing Lyon on Saturday night will have been rewarded at 11/2. If they get beat tonight they may well wave au revoir to manager Claude Puel. Since his appointment their football would best be described as absolute dogshit so it'll be no great loss to the game and the fans turned on him long ago. Israeli teams don't often score a lot, but they are generally good at home as it's a fairly long trip for the opposition and the crowds can be intimidating. All this points to Claude Puel's last rites being read tonight. You can back Hapoel at a best priced 3.4 with Victor Chandler. My personal bet would be to take them draw no bet at 2.38 with the same firm as that should provide sufficient cover at appealing odds.

Rangers v Bursaspor, Tonight 1945
After predicting a landslide victory for Man Utd in the last Champions League matches against Rangers and getting burnt I'm not going to learn! I think Rangers will see this as a winnable game against a new team to Europe's premier competition. I'm going to gamble on them taking them too lightly and this would be a huge mistake. Bursa are unbeaten in their domestic league and are very tight at the back. If Rangers try and play an open match then this team could punish them over and over again. Whilst Bursa did get a sound thrashing from Valencia in matchday 1 that shouldn't put you off too much as the Scottish League is roughly equivalent to League 1 these days and Rangers best player is a toss up between Premier League rejects Kenny Miller, David Weir (now 75 I think) and Steven Davies. Depending on how confident you are Coral are a top priced 4.0 on the Bursa win and 2.75 is widely available on the draw no bet market. I'll be going on the Bursa win personally.

Valencia v Manchester United, Tonight 1945
This has got potential to be a cracking game, but for the wrong reasons for United. There defence at the moment is absolutely shocking, particularly away from home, and Jonny Evans has been doing his best to convince Sir Wrigley he is not the answer. The rumour is that Rio might start tonight, but he has had to spend the entire flight standing up so as not to aggravate his long-standing back injury. I always thought his pace was his key attribute and have never bought into him being a 'world class ball-playing defender', he's competent, but he's no Beckenbauer. Valencia have started the Spanish league well and currently sit top. They have invested well with the money received for David's Villa and Silva and have purchased Roberto Soldado and Mehmet Topal, who have particularly impressed. Topal is the sort of disciplined defensive midfielder that Arsenal or United are missing and he should negate much of United's attacking threat. When the prices were released United were fav's, but the market has now reverted to a more sensible Valencia as fav's. The price still appeals though as they can take advantage of United's weak back up and poor defence here. Bet365 are taking a stab at 2.75 and I'd take some of that.

Tottenham v Twente, Tonight 1945
This game has goals written all over it I think! Tottenham are playing Seb Bassong and Vedran Corluka at centre back and that should encourage Twente no end. Corluka might be tall, but christ he's clumsy, and Bassong is average at best with his pace covering his very poor positional sense. Twente are a fairly attacking team and I would expect them to have a go for at least the early going. I would expect them to grab a goal and Tottenham should be good for one or two themselves so I think over 2.5 is the bet here. Bet365 are biggest price at 2.0 and I'd be tempted to do it as a double with Inter Milan v Werder Bremen in the same group at 1.73 with the same firm.

Good luck to all who follow!

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