Last weekends tips saw me with the best strike rate I have had in a few weeks. As I have been banging on about for a couple of weeks I would like to think it is down to being better informed on how teams are playing and so on. Saying that I honestly thought Man Utd looked a little skinny at 1.5 against Arsenal, shows even I'm not perfect I guess.
Having gotten back into something of a groove we now see international football marching over the horizon to ruin all that. I know some people who swear by international betting, mainly due to the amount of no-hopers you can get against on handicaps. I tend to try and find a bit better odds than that though and this makes it more difficult. Teams can have breaks of 2 months between games and training together and this obviously has an effect on performance that is hard to quantify when looking for bets. However comma I will endeavour to find some value out there, although there may not be as many bets as sometimes.
Israel v Greece, Friday 1405
First match of the days Euro 2012 qualifying is also something I think is well worth a punt on. Israel is always a tough place to visit, be it as an international or club side. It's a good trek out of mainland Europe and also is quite an intimidating place to be playing football. This has led to many good sides struggling to come away from the country with full points. Greece have not exactly become more expansive since their thrilling Euro's win. They are built to not concede goals firstly and to try and impose themselves physically to sneak wins. They currently sit atop their group with 14 points ahead of both Israel and Croatia on 13 points each. Israel should see this as a chance to steal a march on their rivals, and I'll be backing them to do it. Back Israel at 2.3 at William Hill before the price goes.
Belarus v Bosnia, Friday 1830
Another side with a good home record are Belarus, so good they almost beat France at home in these very qualifiers. They have a number of players in the ever-improving Russian Premier League as well as a scattering in Germany and France. And also the wondrous dribbling non scorer Alex Hleb. They are technically pretty gifted in attacking positions, but typically Eastern European in their hard as nails approach at the back. They have so far played 4 matches at home in these qualifiers and both won and drawn 2 with no losses. Bosnia are very similar in set up essentially. They too have some very good attacking players, including the reborn Edin Dzeko, and some very tough defenders. It looks a very tough game to call, so tough I think I'll be hedging my bets. Back the Draw at a standout 3.4 with Stan James.
Northern Ireland v Serbia, Friday 1945
This is not a match I would particularly recommend watching. Northern Ireland have become something of the masters of reducing a game to nothing and trying to snatch goals from set pieces. And all power to them. They're a very small country in the grand scheme of things and this approach has stopped many predicted losses that the likes of Scotland and Wales would no doubt envy. So far they are unbeaten at home and are yet to concede a goal. This alone makes the fact the bookies have Serbia as favourites looking very odd. They definitely are a very good team, but are currently sitting behind Ireland in 3rd in their group. They're yet to really show what they're made of for whatever reason. With the likes of Nemandja Vidic in the side they should always have a chance, but the stats are against them here. I'm going to give myself a little bet of a hand by giving Northern Ireland a slight handicap too. Back Northern Ireland +0.25 asian at 2.02 at Bet365.
Albania v France, Friday 2000
Last bet for tomorrow and it is something of a long shot, albeit backed by goings on so far. Albania are currently second bottom to Luxembourg in the group, but crucially are unbeaten on their own turf. They have beaten Belarus in their last match and also drawn with a very decent Bosnia side. I can't tell you much about the individual players as I really haven't a clue, but they obviously put on a good show in front of their own fans. France have recovered from their horrendous World Cup by looking like being one of the major European forces once again. Under Laurent Blanc many new faces have been given a look in and this has played a part in freshening up the squad as well as giving more energy. I think they may well win, but I don't think they'll have it all their own way, especially with the players not fully into the league seasons yet. I would back Under 2.0 goals at 2.37 with Bet365.
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